FutuRisk – Foresight-Based Approach to Explore Multiple Futures and Anticipate Risks

Summary:

Geopolitics of Asia produces complex patterns of competition, conflict, cooperation, and potentially a disastrous disintegration, which are unfolding at the same time in a volatile environment characterised by uncertainty, exceptional disruption, and unprecedented change. This interactive session will immerse the participants in a foresight-based workshop to explore systemic patterns to surface assumptions, explore how the emerging trends can shape the future, and identify potential enablers and disruptions that might affect the future of geopolitics in Asia in 2040. This quick experiential session will focus on scenarios building and storytelling using LEGO® bricks and elements to inject elements of fun, creativity, and imagination through a 3D-model building.

Speakers:

Cheryl Chung
Anie Febriastati

 

China’s First Comprehensive National Survey of Natural Disaster Risks

Summary:

China’s first comprehensive national survey of natural disaster risks is the largest such risk survey project in the world so far. This session will introduce the design, specific tasks and progress of the national risk survey project, and highlight the latest findings in the fields of earthquake, geological and meteorological disasters risk research in China. In the context of climate change, extreme weather and climate events occur more frequently in China. Meteorological and geological disaster risk management is particularly important and challenging. This session will also cover the current disaster risk assessment, mitigation and prevention systems of mmeteorological and geological disasters in China. https://nsem.bnu.edu.cn/

Speakers:

Martin Raiser
Baitao Sun
Jianqing Zhai
Ge Gao
Ying Li
Bin Tong
Saini Yang

 

Dynamic Risk Models for Evolving Cities

Summary:

Key to making informed policy decisions to promote resilient and sustainable future cities is the ability to model risk as it relates to dynamic changes in our urban environments, reflecting population increase, urban growth patterns and evolving vulnerability linked to time-dependent processes. We bring together experts in risk analysis, decision support systems, machine learning and policy to discuss how risk models can best account for the uncertain future built environment, thus enabling proactive actions that reduce future risk arising from a larger than present-day asset base. The session will cover public and private interest in this work and highlight some analytical modelling approaches. https://earthobservatory.sg

Speakers:

David Lallemant
Graeme Riddell
Rashmin Gunasekera
Maricar Rabonza
Gizem Mestav Sarica
Hedwig van Delden

 

Plenary Panel – Averted Disasters

Summary:

Good news or Bad news. How do we make the invisible visible? A session to recognise the hidden hero’s of normality. Presenting the Averted disaster award. Link: http://averteddisasteraward.org/

Speakers:

Pablo Suarez
David Lallemant

 

Innovation in Risk Finance: Modelling Matters!

Summary:

Disseminate insights and lessons learnt from innovative modelling work completed as part of South-East Asian Disaster Risk Insurance Facility (SEADRIF) offering an initial flood insurance product. The focus of this session will be on modelling used for risk transfer products offered by SEADRIF. In addition it will also offer information to inform broader activities for DRM, climate analytics and rapid post-event impact assessments. SEADRIF’s first insurance product combines innovative modelling approaches to support the placement of a sovereign parametric insurance product. In this session, moderated by the World Bank, the SEADRIF Insurance Company along with private sector companies collaborating on this successful placement will show how new technologies enabled countries to access the insurance market. Then along with additional experts in this space they will discuss some of the advancements which can support better understanding of risk and improved financial resilience. The World Bank, Disaster Risk Financing and Insurance Program https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/disaster-risk-financing-and-insurance-program

Speakers:

Hang Thu Vu
Soo Hoon Hauw-Quek
Paul Maisey
Apoorv Dabral
Lynette Tan

 

Integrating Resilience into the Financial System – Practitioner Perspectives

Summary:

Aligning financial flows with climate-resilient development is one of the goals of the Paris Agreement. In this event, we discuss the rationale for alignment and ask what this means in practice and review progress toward this. We hear from practitioners across government, banking, infrastructure investment and disaster risk financing communities on how we can accelerate progress in integrating risk and resilience into financial decision making in the Asia region.

Speakers:

Nicola Ranger, Rowan Douglas, Ila Patnaik
Anders Nordheim, Conor Donaldson,
Benedikt Signer, Calvin Quek

 

Master Lecture: Communicating Climate Science

Summary:

As the IPCC launches its Sixth Assessment Report, what lessons have been learned and what challenges lie ahead? After a decade heading IPCC’s communications, Mr. Lynn will reflect on how messages and channels have changed over time.

Speakers:

Jonathan Lynn
Olivia Jensen

 

Integrating Resilience into the Financial System – the Global Resilience Index Initiative

Summary:

Aligning financial flows with climate-resilient development is one of the goals of the Paris Agreement. The Global Resilience Index Initiatives brings together global partners with the goal of providing open risk information and standards with the goal of creating a basic, common language of risk that can help accelerate the integration of risk and resilience into financial decision making across both the public and private sector. In this event, we share the ambition and rationale of the GRII, update on progress delivered for COP26 and discuss how we can link to innovations in risk analytics in the Asia region to build toward an operational GRII service by COP27.

Speakers:

Rowan Douglas, Nicola Ranger, Jim Hall,
Ekhosuehi Iyahen, Jenty Kirsch-Wood,
Kamal Kishore, Carlos Sanchez, John Schneider,
Shie-Yui Liong, T-C (Tso-Chien) Pan

 

Rapid Assessment of Comparative Climate Risk in Cities

Summary:

Deltares is developing a methodology to assess the risks for climate-induced natural hazards in cities based on open-source global data in combination with rapid assessment modelling. Resilient Cities Network and Deltares are now conducting this assessment for cities in the Network to map how climate risks are distributed throughout global regions, and to learn how the assessment can be developed further to be most beneficial to cities. Interviews were held with several Chief Resilience Officers (CROs) from a diversity of cities to present and discuss the results. The roundtable of CROs will discuss how the method can be tailored to optimally fit the needs of cities. Links Resilient Cities Nework website: https://resilientcitiesnetwork.org/ Deltares Website: https://www.deltares.nl/en/ Deltares Facebook: @DeltaresNL Deltares LinkedIn/Twitter: @Deltares

Speakers:

Leon Kapetas
Hans Gehrels
Guy van Hemel
Kamlesh Yagnik
Folayinka Dania
Piero Pelizzaro

 

Using Narratives to Communicate Climate Risks

Summary:

Stories engage, inspire and enlighten us. In this session, the panellists will discuss how books, games and films can contribute to climate risk communication, reaching a broad audience from kids to grandparents, connecting people to their communities and the environment.

Speakers:

Matthew Schneider-Mayerson
Pontus Wallin
Zhaoli Song
Reuben Ng