From black swans to boiling frogs: How to understand risk, visualize risk scenarios, and build agency for early action
Organizer: NASA and Earth Observatory of Singapore
| A myriad of risks exist, but it is our understanding and action in regard to these events that often lead to greater loss of lives and to livelihoods. The transition to naming these events as black swans, grey rhinos, boiling frogs, and more has evolved as a pedagogical tool to help us understand events that can be high impact but low probability (i.e., solar flares), high impact and high probability (i.e., COVID19), or high impact but consider the creeping element of time (i.e., climate change). Rather than focus on what we “could have done” following a disaster, this session intends to unpack the complexities of risk to better understand and visualize these risks and their impacts, as well as offer opportunities to enable action ahead of impact. |
Speakers:
Shanna McClain, Global Partnerships Manager, NASA
Yolanda Lin, Assistant Professor
Emma Flaherty, Thematic Lead- Implementation at Risk Informed Early Action Partnership
Shayna Skolnik, CEO, Navteca